I decided that I’m going to reduce the amount of tournaments I’m playing for a couple of weeks. My ROI has just been awful in tournaments, while my cash game ROI has been great. Simply, it’s just a money decision at this point and one that’s important for all DFS players to be able to distinguish once they have a good sample of cash and tournament entries to look at. Put your money in the best spots possible to profit. Don’t feel like you have to play both just because.
With a full slate of games, let’s get right into today’ top plays.
Elite Plays of the Day:
Jrue Holliday ($4,700 on DK)
With news that Jrue will no longer be sitting out back to backs, we have to take advantage of his vastly discounted price. When he’s right, he’ll contribute across the board in all categories, as he’s shown in the last 2 games. What we’re worried about most with Jrue though is the minutes he receives. As he’s played 28 and 29 minutes the last 2 games respectively, it shows the Pelicans are really close to playing him without any restrictions. The game against the Jazz isn’t the greatest match-up, but the total is still at 204 with a -4 spread towards Utah. There’s just too much value here as Jrue is closer to a $6,500 talent when given his full slate of minutes. He’s my top play to hit 7x-8x value on this slate.
Stephen Curry ($10,700 on DK)
Is there ever really a bad time to play Steph Curry? Despite some concern over a blow-out, there are just too many factors in favor of Curry tonight to fade him vs the Suns. The total is massive at 220. Phoenix is ranked 26th in the NBA in fantasy points allowed to point guards. Both teams are among the leaders in Pace this season. Oh, and the Warriors are coming off their first loss and won’t be eager to lose back to back games for the first time this season. Even if this game is over in the 4th quarter, it’s usually because Steph went absolutely berserk in the first 3.
Don’t overthink this one and just fire him up in all formats.
Andre Iguodala ($5,500 on DK)
Iggy has been one of my favorite cash game plays since Barnes went down to injury, but his price is starting to reflect his true value. Regardless, this Warriors and Suns game is one I want to target and Iggy gives us good exposure at a cheap price. He’s filling up the stat-sheet the last 4 games, averaging 32 mpg, 6.3 PPG, 7.8 RPG, 4.5 APG, and 3.3 SPG. He’s a guy who will benefit from this big pace game that should see plenty of transition opportunities. He’s a far better cash play as I think he hits 25-30 FDP in this one pretty easily, but doesn’t have the ceiling you look for in tournament plays. He’ll be a staple in my cash lineups tonight.
Allen Crabbe ($4,000 on DK)
Crabbe was someone I waited on for a little while to see if his minutes would stay consistent and started plugging him in a 2 games ago. He’s been incredibly consistent off the Portland bench and it seems his role is secure as the team’s 6th man moving forward. Since December hit, he’s averaging 28.2 MPG, 14.4 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 1.5 APG just under 1 SPG on 62.8 % TS. We like consistency in cash games and Crabbe at just $4,000 gives us a tremendous floor for a value play. Add in the fact this is the 2nd highest total of the night at 208.5 gives this game a nice boost. There’s some blow-out potential for the Thunder here too where Crabbe would likely be on the floor in the 4th quarter against Thunder reserves. Just too many positives to pass up for a guy at $4,000 salary.
Jerami Grant ($5,000 on DK)
With Noel out, the Sixers should turn to Grant to fill in as the starting PF. He’s been a consistent contributor in all categories this season, (9.7 PPG, 4.9 RPG, 1.9 BPG, 1.3 APG, 0.9 SPG) and sees an uptick in minutes when Noel is out of the lineup. He does see a tough match-up vs Millsap, but they might not actually see a lot of time if this game is over by the 4th quarter. Grant will also not be highly owned tonight because of the large slate and the fact that he plays for the Sixers.
There you have it! If you have any questions, please ask on my twitter @AsmusSports. Best of luck!