Hoopscritic DFS: Russell Westbrook Night?

It’s not often that a lineup will score 289.5 points and produce $0, but that was the kind of night we had on the short-slate. The Kings-Mavericks game lived up to its projected fantasy goodness with a double-OT game while the Bulls and Bucks completely obliterated its team total projection. For our main cash lineup, we were a normal Kosta Koufos 8 point, 7 rebound 1 block game from another profitable evening. Unfortunately, Koufos was not his normal self and gave a not-so solid 5.5 FDP performance.

Tonight is going to be interesting because it initially started as our favorite “Russell Westbrook with no Kevin Durant” day, but a few developments throughout the morning have made Westbrook someone you don’t have to roster in cash games. First off, Durant’s injury status has been upgraded twice today, which indicates that he’s going to at least try and play tonight. Second, Westbrook’s price has risen $900 and is extremely expensive at $11,600. With a lot of great value at PG tonight, Westbrook is someone I’ll have very limited exposure to if Durant is ruled out and virtually none if he is playing.

That said, let’s get into our Elite Plays of the Day.

 

Elite Plays of the Day:

Kemba Walker: ($8,200 on DK)

This play stood out immediately and will be a popular one tonight in both cash and tournaments. The Suns are an absolute mess right now and are giving up monster games to point guards just about every night. Kemba is certainly someone who can take advantage as he comes into this game in great form, averaging 26.8 PPG, 5.2 APG, 5.0 RPG, and 2.7 SPG in 38 minutes a contest. The beauty here is with no Batum and potentially no Lamb, who is a GTD, Kemba will get all the usage he can handle. He’s my favorite play of the day and will gladly take the $3,200 in savings rostering him over Westbrook.

Victor Oladipo ($5,800 on DK)

With Payton already ruled out, Oladipo becomes one of the best, if not the best value play on the board. When he’s running the PG spot, he gets a nice usage bump and will easily see 35+ minutes in this one with no Payton. He put up a nice line of 18-7-5-2 in 35 minutes for 37.25 FDP. Skiles has also been quoted that he wants to “get his best defensive player on the court,” so Dipo should start seeing more run here in the upcoming weeks. Be sure to take advantage of him at this price in both cash games and tournaments as he’s closer to a $7,000 player when he’s starting with big minutes.

Jeff Withey ($4,600 on DK)

Fire up the Withey train. His ownership will likely be a bit lower than it’s been the last few games because of the bad match-up with the Spurs, but Withey has just been a model of consistency since stepping in for Gobert at C averaging 9.1 PPG, 7.9 RPG, 2.5 BPG and 1.4 SPG in 27 minutes. He’s gotten better each game too, going over 31.25 FDP in 4 of his last 5 games. He’s somewhat blow-out proof as well with Favors on the sidelines for another couple games as the Jazz just don’t have many other big bodies to turn to. On a night where cheap value is hard to come by, I’ll go back to the Withey Well and trust him to get me 25+ FDP.

Anthony Davis: ($10,300 on DK)

Like most DFS players who make rosters every day, Davis has burned me on several different occasions. We can’t let the past distract us to the situation he’s in tonight though. The old, tired Mavericks are ranked 26th against power forwards this season and are on the second-leg of a B-B coming off a double-OT win. How can anyone expect Dirk ( coming off 42 minutes) or Zaza (coming off 40 minutes) to slow Davis down? The Pelicans on the other hand are well-rested and will continue trying to get back into the playoff race.

One injury to monitor here is the status of Tyreke Evans. If he’s out, that gives a nice boost to Davis and his usage. Vegas doesn’t think there’s a blow-out risk either as the line is set at -5.5 for the Pelicans in a good total at 205.5. I know myself and many other DFS analysts have said this exact sentence all season, but Davis has a great floor and upside for tournaments and cash, if he doesn’t leave the floor with a mystery injury.

Evan Turner ($5,600 on DK)

Turner was great against Brooklyn in a starter’s role, putting up 31.75 FDP in 37 minutes. He should be in line for a similar amount of minutes tonight against the Pistons with a similar amount of production with Bradley still out with injury. IT2 has been dealing with a sprained thumb and even though he’s not expected to miss this game, the Celtics might dial his minutes back a bit, opening up room for more opportunity for Turner. I like Turner a lot more for cash than in tournaments because of a somewhat limited ceiling, but I’ll have plenty of exposure of him in both.

 

Top Fade of the Day:

Russell Westbrook: ($11,600 on DK)

This isn’t a complete fade of Westbrook if Durant is out, but he’s not someone I’m going to have 100% ownership of like I normally would in a “Durant-less” match-up. There’s great PG picks throughout all levels of the salary cap tonight and I don’t see the value being at where he has to be 100% owned.

 

That’s it! Please ask me questions on my twitter @AsmusSports. Best of luck!

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