Hoopscritic DFS: Taking Advantage of Mid-Range Value

Hoopscritic DFS: Taking Advantage of Mid-Range Value

Slates like tonight are the most fun because there are so many different directions we can go. There isn’t a lot of value we can turn to and there are quite a few projected blow-outs in the super-star games. I think the better approach today is to build a more balanced roster and capitalize on some of the mid-range plays in great match-ups. Let’s get right into it.   Elite Plays of the Day: Paul Millsap: ($8,300 on DK) Millsap has been one of my most used players in cash games this season for good reason. He is a legitimate 5 category player and has one of the best floors in the entire NBA. He’s where I started my cash lineup today as the Hawks/Clippers game has one of the smallest spreads on the night at -3 with a 207.5 total. With Blake being an absolute fool and delaying his return, targeting PF’s against the Clippers remains a great strategy with the likes of Paul Pierce, Wes Johnson and Luc Mbah a Moute getting a majority of minutes at the position. He’s locked in right now (18.6 PPG, 10.0 RPG, 3.4 APG, 1.6 BPG, 2.2 SPG for 43.6 FDP in just 29 MPG) and his price always seem stable in the low $8K’s. He’s viable in all formats, but he’s my favorite cash game play of the day. Chandler Parsons: ($6,500 on DK) Parsons, after being one of the more frustrating guys to roster the first couple months of the season, has rebounded to his pre-injury form in the past week and is beginning to take over as a...
Ranking all 30 NBA GM’s

Ranking all 30 NBA GM’s

The trade deadline is a few short weeks away.  And whether you’re the Warriors or the Nets, what comes with the trade deadline is an opportunity to make roster changes. Coming into the deadline, which teams are in the best hands as they face future changing decisions? The worst hands?  This article will rank all 30 NBA GM situations. In ranking the GM’s the following factors have been considered: Knowledge of the CBA: The critical nature of this factor is obvious.  Is your GM clearly well versed in the CBA, and is he finding loopholes and creative ways to make the team better? Or is his approach rather vanilla and standard? Talent Evaluation: This is unavoidably a factor.  Some tend to believe it is not fair to judge GM’s on draft hits and misses, but the bottom line is that as a GM it is your job to import good talent. When you choose worse talent over better talent, you have to be judged for that. How Modern Your Approach to the Game is: Is your GM innovative? Is he considering critical, new age metrics (or at least newer metrics, as none of this is brand new) like points per possession, net rating, the ability to shoot the corner 3, and other advanced metrics, or is he building based on the way the NBA was built in 1995. The Ability to Shift Gears: Sometimes the best laid plans go to waste. How good is your GM at shifting gears when a plan does not go well. Is he malleable? Or is he insistent on making things work with the...
Offense To Defense: An Investigative Report On How Each Side Of The Ball Relates To Success In The NBA

Offense To Defense: An Investigative Report On How Each Side Of The Ball Relates To Success In The NBA

An oft-repeated adage in the NBA states: “Offense wins eyes, but defense wins games”. While this type of platitude has become a commonly perpetuated cliché throughout NBA circles, its statistical applicability is rarely, if ever, challenged. In order to investigate whether there is some kind of significant difference in how offense, as opposed to defense, relates to wins altogether, I decided to investigate, with the 2014-15 NBA season serving as my personal guinea pig. Using team wins as my response variable, I plotted each team’s offensive and defensive rating, as explanatory variables, against the other, in order to differentiate between the predictive power of each as it pertains to regular-season wins in the NBA. All of my corresponding data for this investigation is displayed in the following table, and teams are sorted alphabetically, with “ORtg” denoting each team’s offensive rating (points scored per one-hundred possessions and “DRtg” denoting each team’s defensive rating (points allowed per one-hundred possessions—so, less is more): Furthermore, the following medley of scatterplots, equations, and explanations in context serves to parse the data I have collected. First, for the initial explanatory variable: The above scatterplot shows the relationship between team offensive rating, my first explanatory variable, and total teams wins, my response variable. Here, there is a moderately strong, positive, linear relationship between the strength of a team’s offensive rating and the number of games it won. The correlation for these variables is r=0.819. Evidently, teams that score a high number of points per 100 possessions tend to also win a good amount of games. In order to model the relationship between offensive rating and wins,...
Hoopscritic’s Staff Mid Season Awards

Hoopscritic’s Staff Mid Season Awards

by Oliver Maroney & Jacob Noble It’s just past the mid-way point in the NBA season and it feels like it just started! Here at HoopsCritic we had all of our contributors and writers vote on their mid-season awards favorites. From the MVP, to the Rookie of the Year, we all voted for respective players and while some were a landslide (MVP?), others were certainly closer. MVP – Stephen Curry Every one of us put Stephen Curry as our MVP. He’s been superb thus far in the season, producing a balance of offense and defense that’s hard for anyone to stop. Even with defenses focusing on how to stop him, he’s virtually continued to pick-apart defenses and make things that seem impossible, possible. Aside from what he does individually, he’s especially great at making all of his team better. His passing, ability to draw two or three defenders, and find the opening, is also key to his and the Warriors success. Rookie Of The Year – Karl-Anthony Towns This was close as Kristaps Porzingis came in second by a hair. I can see the reason for Kristaps, as he was slighted before the season and plays in the big apple, but Towns has been incredible with Minnesota. I think most people knew he’d be good on defense, but his offensive game has been more superior than most thought. His back to the basket moves, mobility, and aggressiveness have been extremely impressive. Almost averaging a double-double, Towns has a 21.13 player efficiency rating, while getting almost 2 blocks per game. While Porzingis isn’t far behind, I think he’d need to...