Hoopscritic DFS: Month Two Begins

Hoopscritic DFS: Month Two Begins

Finally, the fun part of the NBA DFS season is upon us as November comes to a close. We now have a great understanding of what usage rates and minutes will look like for a majority of players. Sample size is still fairly limited, but we have a pretty good idea of how teams will perform on a nightly basis. The good news is having more statistical data available for this year makes building lineups easier and less volatile; the bad news is everyone has access to that same data. Still, the way to distinguish our lineups is to continue to follow news closely and find the right spots to get value. Let’s get right into today’s slate. Elite Plays of the Day: Jerryd Bayless: ($4800 DK) Michael Carter Williams has fallen completely out of favor in Kidd’s rotation which has allowed Bayless to step into a major role as the team’s starting point guard. He’s coming of a 43 minute performance has put up at least 29 FDP and 30+ minutes in his last 4 games. He’s been secure in his playing time this season and has averaged 11.8 PPG, 5.0 RPG and 3.2 APG in his 5 starts this season. I think he’s one of many plays tonight that can hit 6x-7x value on tonight’s slate. Be sure he’s in the starting lineup again, but I’m not worried about his minutes after what we’ve seen from his playing time recently. Rajon Rondo: ($9,000 on DK) Rondo has proved a lot of people wrong this season with a career resurgence in Sacramento. It took him 4 or 5...
Rockets Fire Kevin McHale, but Deeper Problems Remain

Rockets Fire Kevin McHale, but Deeper Problems Remain

On Tuesday November 17, the Houston Rockets relieved Kevin McHale of his coaching duties, after a slow 4-7 start to the 2015-2016 season. The move came as a surprise.  Coming off a 54-28 season, McHale got a contract extension in December of 2014.  Then, the Rockets went 56-26 and reached the Western Conference finals, where their series against the NBA champion Warriors was competitive on a game in, game out basis despite the 4-1 score. In one sense, the move served as a reminder that in an era where some fans are so quick to group team as believers in analytics, nonbelievers, or something between, that when push comes to shove, all organizations, at both ends of the spectrum, can act from the same impulsive places (as human impulsiveness is often unrelated to analytics).  The McHale firing is certainly not a referendum on the alleged flaws of analytics (did you watch the NBA finals?). In fact, it was the opposite.  It showed that when push comes to shove, all organizations are run by people, and people sometimes make self interested decisions based upon preserving their own self image, by scapegoating others for their problems. The Rockets went 56-26 last year.  Expectations were and are high, internally and externally.  The Rockets marketed the upcoming season as one to watch.  And they fell flat early.  They could have worked through their problems; could have taken a close look at the roster, their core players, and what is going wrong.  But self reflection is hard.  The easy alternative: blame McHale for their slow start and avoid questions about problems with the roster, poor leadership, and...
Triple Double Tuesday – Weekly Column 11.24.15

Triple Double Tuesday – Weekly Column 11.24.15

It’s almost that time for teams to hit the panic button. The Rockets did it last week by relieving Kevin McHale of his coaching duties after a dismal 4-7 start of the season. What’s the old phrase? “You can’t fire a whole team so you fire the coach.” The Rockets weren’t playing for him anymore, the move had to be done. Now it will be up to the front office to see if they can find someone to motivate this current group because they are getting beat by effort most nights. And with that, let’s jump the weekly column. Three Positive Plays Steph Curry and the Warriors Talk about a tale of two cities. One on hand we have the runner up MVP in James Harden having an awful year so far and the other we have the best and most exciting player in the league currently, reigning MVP, Steph Curry. But don’t take my word; here are some of the many articles being written about basketball’s lord and savior: Eye on Basketball – Veterans Have Never Seen Anything Like This GQ Steph’s Ball Handling Secrets Business Insider – Steph Curry Is Only Going To Get Better SB Nation – Steph Curry Shoot Better Than Everyone Did I mention they have won 15 in a row to start the season? Did I even need to inform you about that? Carmelo Anthony I have always been hyper critical of Carmelo Anthony, gone as far as calling him a loser. To be honest, it has more to do with my expectations of him compared to what he’s been able to accomplish....
Let the Men Shoot

Let the Men Shoot

Let the Men Shoot   NBA coaches are foxy, sometimes too foxy for their own good. If you have a guy shooting the lights out, scoring at will, on high efficiency no-less, why is said player shooting less and playing less than his comparable teammates? The players listed here are my nominations for more shots and minutes. I’m doing this on behalf of the people! The angry fans, the confused and scorned lovers of NBA shooting barrages, even the begrudging DFS players. I’m nominating them to you (the public)! In the hopes that we can tweet angrily into cyberspace as a unit.   Jeremy Lamb All these phenomenal shot-charts are from peterbeshai.com   What are we doing here Mr. Clifford? There’s no rule stating Charlotte has to start at least one inept offensive wing at all times, is there? Al Jefferson is fading, Kemba Walker is consistently inconsistent, looks like there’s room for more offense in that starting unit. Jeremy Lamb has done all you could ask for and more. The Hornets have a squad that can compete right now. Clearly Lamb deserves some more time and opportunities. Of players taking less than 10 shots per game Lamb is averaging the 9th most points per contest. He has been incredibly efficient, boasting a very impressive .623 TS%. He leads all Hornets in PER, TS%, and WS/48. That Oklahoma City Management. . . Waiters 27.7 MPG, 10.3 PPG, .517 TS%, 10.6 PER Lamb 23.4 MPG, 12.5 PPG, .623 TS%, 21.6 PER — Josh Eberley (@JoshEberley) November 19, 2015     Jonas Valanciunas The Raptors are better when Jonas Valanciunas (JV) is involved.  That’s apparent to...
NBA Rookie Ladder

NBA Rookie Ladder

A quick note: This Rookie Ladder is essentially a running “rookie of the year” tab. Certain weeks were not, are not, and will not be weighed more heavily than others because they are more memorable or recent. Rather, each edition will provide an update on how the list of top-10 rookies stands on the season to date, one week at a time. Furthermore, neither age nor draft position will affect a player’s prospective standing here. As long as said player qualifies as a rookie, he can be as high or as low on this list as his play dictates. With that said, enjoy the first edition of HoopsCritic’s “NBA Rookie Ladder”, brought to you by The Committee (of one). NBA Rookie Ladder   1. Karl-Anthony Towns PTS TRB AST STL BLK TOV TS% FG% 3P% FT% MPG NET RTG 15.4 10.5 1.0 0.5 2.1 2.2 54.7 48.9 20.0 91.4 28.9 + 2.7 Just eleven games into his career, 19-year old Karl-Anthony Towns has already proven far ahead of the learning curve. Holding opponents to 37.5% shooting (9.7% lower than usual), rebounding and converting free throws at rates less than 10 players in the entire league have managed, and pacing all fellow rookies in player efficiency rating, there’s simply not much the early favorite for ROY hasn’t been able to do. Go ahead and add another tally mark in the ‘University of Kentucky’ column. 2. Jahlil Okafor PTS TRB AST STL BLK TOV TS% FG% 3P% FT% MPG NET RTG 19.2 7.6 1.4 0.3 1.8 3.0 50.3 47.9 – 64.4 33.7 – 25.3 Logging a rookie-leading 33.7 minutes per contest,...
Triple Double Tuesday – Weekly Column 11.17.15

Triple Double Tuesday – Weekly Column 11.17.15

The NBA season is shaping up and we are figuring out what teams are. There are a lot of things we all missed like the Rockets being average, the Knicks being average and Portland is giving everyone who thought they’d be a bottom dweller the middle finger. However, the season is far from over and we have a million questions that will be answered as the season progresses such as; will the Warriors lose a game? Kidding, of course they will lose a game but how many is the question? Let’s kick off this weekly column. Three Positive Plays The Boston Celtics Are Really Good This team is who I figured they would be, fighting for a 4-6 seed in the Eastern Conference with their ability to wear teams down because they are so deep. Other teams play a few guys 35+ minutes on a nightly basis in order to accomplish the most wins they can. The Celtics have 3 guys who play 30 minutes and 7 guys who log 24 or more minutes a game. They are 5th in pace, 4th in defensive efficiency, and 6th in points differential. Their ability to plug in someone else when a player is hurt or having a bad night is an asset that is often overlooked in the sport of basketball due to it being a superstar league. This team is doing it without a superstar. Outside of Isaiah Thomas, there are no other players scoring 20 points a game. Every player does have a respectable PER rating with the highest being Jared Sullinger (21.8) and lowest, out of the players...